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	<title>Marketingeasy Internet Marketing Explained &#187; digg</title>
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		<title>2007 crooked online business previsions for 2008</title>
		<link>http://marketingeasy.net/2007-online-business-previsions/2008-12-23/</link>
		<comments>http://marketingeasy.net/2007-online-business-previsions/2008-12-23/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 23 Dec 2008 01:58:44 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Lucio Dias Ribeiro</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[marketing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Tools]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Advertising]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[internet predictions]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[Internet Marketing industry is flood with predictions all the time. As a fun exercise, below a list prepared by AdAge with Digital Predictions from 2007 to 2008 that didn&#8217;t happened Digital Predictions That Didn&#8217;t Pan Out 1. ONLINE ADVERTISING WILL GROW 29% IN 2008 As late as November 2007, forecasters predicted a huge year for [...]
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<li><a href='http://marketingeasy.net/2007-most-over-hyped-emerging-trend-in-online-marketing/2008-03-21/' rel='bookmark' title='2007 Most Over-Hyped Emerging Trend in Online Marketing'>2007 Most Over-Hyped Emerging Trend in Online Marketing</a></li>
<li><a href='http://marketingeasy.net/2007-top-services/2007-01-03/' rel='bookmark' title='2007 &#8211; Top Online Websites'>2007 &#8211; Top Online Websites</a></li>
<li><a href='http://marketingeasy.net/gm-dropping-half-of-their-3-bil-on-online-marketing/2008-03-15/' rel='bookmark' title='GM Dropping half of Their $3 bil on Online Marketing'>GM Dropping half of Their $3 bil on Online Marketing</a></li>
</ol>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Internet Marketing industry is flood with predictions all the time.</p>
<p>As a fun exercise, below a list prepared by <a href="http://adage.com" target="_blank">AdAge</a> with Digital Predictions from 2007 to 2008 that didn&#8217;t happened</p>
<h1>Digital Predictions That Didn&#8217;t Pan Out</h1>
<p><span id="more-373"></span></p>
<p>1.	ONLINE ADVERTISING WILL GROW 29% IN 2008</p>
<p><a href="http://www.flickr.com/photos/paul_irish/83153959/"><img class="alignright" title="Internet Popular" src="http://farm1.static.flickr.com/41/83153959_d0918599a6.jpg?v=0" alt="" width="350" height="281" /></a>As late as November 2007, forecasters predicted a huge year for online advertising in 2008, and stuck with it even as the economy started to stumble. Their rationale: Even if the economy takes a dive, online ads won&#8217;t. In fact, online will benefit from a recession, as marketers move spending from TV to cheaper, more measurable media. Well, online advertising did grow in 2008, but just 15% in the first six months of 2008 and 11% in Q3, according to the ever-optimistic Internet Advertising Bureau.</p>
<div style="font-size: 120%; color: black; line-height: 120%; font-weight: bold;">2.	ADVERTISERS WILL LEARN TO<br />
LOVE FACEBOOK AND YOUTUBE</div>
<p><span>Neither <span>Facebook&#8217;s</span> nor <span>YouTube&#8217;s</span> importance to marketers matches its scale on the web. <span>YouTube&#8217;s</span> challenge is to figure out how to add scale to non-scalable promotions. And <span>Facebook&#8217;s</span> challenge? That&#8217;s perhaps summed up best by Ted McConnell, Procter &amp; Gamble&#8217;s interactive guru: &#8220;What in heaven&#8217;s name made you think you could monetize the real estate in which somebody is breaking up with their girlfriend?&#8221;</span></p>
<div style="font-size: 120%; color: black; line-height: 120%; font-weight: bold;">3.	HULU, ANOTHER NETWORK<br />
ATTEMPT ON THE WEB, WILL FAIL</div>
<p><span>At the outset, the News Corp.-NBCU joint venture had only two things going for it: lots of good content and rock-bottom expectations. It was, after all, another attempt by big media to create a consumer web destination. But <span>Hulu</span> became the sixth-biggest video site in the U.S. and allowed skittish advertisers to put dollars against trusted TV brands &#8212; at a higher CPM than TV.</span></p>
<div style="font-size: 120%; color: black; line-height: 120%; font-weight: bold;">4.	DIGG WILL BE ACQUIRED</div>
<p><span>It&#8217;s no wonder it&#8217;s a perennial prediction &#8212; every year <span>Digg</span> does seem to do a little acquisition dance with someone. This past year it tangoed with Google but came up empty. Instead, it settled for raising a whopping $28.7 million Series C round.</span></p>
<div style="font-size: 120%; color: black; line-height: 120%; font-weight: bold;">5.	A GOOGLE KILLER WILL EMERGE</div>
<p><span>Despite myriad attempts (remember the massive hype around the far-too-beta <span>Cuil</span>?), Google has only grown share, and no one has emerged as any sort of legitimate challenger in the search space. In fact, some would-be challengers have shifted tacks, because going up against Goliath has proved impossible. Person-assisted search site <span>ChaCha</span>, for example, is now pushing itself as a mobile product rather than straight web search.</span></p>
<div style="font-size: 120%; color: black; line-height: 120%; font-weight: bold;">6.	A BIG DAILY PAPER WILL GO ALL-DIGITAL</div>
<p><span>This didn&#8217;t happen, but whoever made this prediction probably deserves a mulligan. That&#8217;s because a major daily newspaper did go all digital (The Christian Science Monitor), but it won&#8217;t happen until April 2009. Now, CSM is a special case with a different audience and economics than your standard daily. But there, too, it almost happened. In January, the East Valley Tribune, a 100,000-<span>circ</span> daily east of Phoenix, will go down to four days a week. The paper fired 40% of its staff (142) and will focus on digital.</span></p>
<div style="font-size: 120%; color: black; line-height: 120%; font-weight: bold;">7.	2008 WILL BE THE YEAR OF MOBILE ADVERTISING</div>
<p>You&#8217;ve been hearing that prediction since 1996, and every year people trot it out again. Sure, there were lots of advertising milestones this past year: Apple&#8217;s 3G iPhone and App Store changed the way people think about mobile devices; the much-anticipated Google phone debuted; and touch screens became a staple of new phones everywhere. But mobile advertising remained a blip on the total marketing radar. Maybe 2009?</p>
<div style="font-size: 120%; color: black; line-height: 120%; font-weight: bold;">8.	THE KINDLE WILL FLOP</div>
<p>There was reason to believe it would. E-book readers have been hyped since the late &#8217;90s to less-than-middling success. Amazon&#8217;s version, the Kindle, started racking up fans so devoted that they volunteered to show off their devices as part of Amazon&#8217;s &#8220;See a Kindle in Your City.&#8221; In October, Oprah delivered Amazon a coup when she endorsed the product on her show. Since Amazon hasn&#8217;t broken out Kindle sales, it&#8217;s hard to know how successful it is, but one thing is clear: It&#8217;s far from a flop.</p>
<div style="font-size: 120%; color: black; line-height: 120%; font-weight: bold;">9.	BROADCAST TV DIES, WHILE<br />
WEB VIDEO BREAKS THROUGH</div>
<p><span>It was a tantalizing prediction to make: In a year when the striking writers had brought Hollywood to a halt, an explosion in web-originated content would accelerate the shift of dollars away from the tube. One problem: It didn&#8217;t happen. The networks got increases from advertisers, and online video took a pittance in advertising &#8212; perhaps $505 million if you believe <span>eMarketer</span>.</span></p>
<div style="font-size: 120%; color: black; line-height: 120%; font-weight: bold;">10.	IT&#8217;LL BE A HUGE YEAR FOR INTERNET STOCKS</div>
<p><span>Nobody could have known the magnitude of the economic implosion. But few expected to see Yahoo stock fall to $11.12 from $23.72 or eBay to plummet to $13.47 from $32.49 or <span>ValueClick</span> to drop to $5.86 from $21.70. Back in January, J.P. Morgan&#8217;s <span>Imran</span> Khan predicted a 34% earnings-per-share rise for major <span>internet</span> stocks. Needless to say, it didn&#8217;t happen. Google didn&#8217;t hit $1,000. And it didn&#8217;t cure cancer, either.</span></p>
<p>Do you want to guess/risk a prediction for 2009? What it&#8217;d be your prediction?</p>
<p>I&#8217;ll start it off -</p>
<p>1)  Twitter is going to show it can <a href="http://silkcharm.blogspot.com/2008/12/job-monetizing-twitter.html" target="_blank">generate revenue</a> using a mix of paid subscription, supporting advertising in their apps and API access for developers besides an integration with other social platforms. Everything based on <a href="http://www.rosshill.com.au/article/this-is-how-news-breaks-from-now-on/" target="_blank">practicality, usability and usefulness </a>.</p>
<p>2)  <a href="http://onlinemarketingbanter.com/busting-social-media-myths-one-by-one/" target="_blank">Social Media Myths will be broken</a></p>
<p>3) Danny will convince <a href="http://dannybrown.me/2008/12/22/procrastination-is-for-squares/" target="_blank">more people to start blogging</a></p>
<p>More on 2009 predictions on <a href="http://www.readwriteweb.com/cgi-bin/mt/mt-tb.cgi/9462" target="_blank">ReadWriteWeb</a>, and <a href="http://www.typepad.com/services/trackback/6a00d8341c2f6e53ef010536922cb3970c" target="_blank">Servant of Chaos</a></p>
<p>How about you, any 2009 prevision?</p>
<p>cheers</p>
<p>Lucio Ribeiro</p>
<p>Related posts:<ol>
<li><a href='http://marketingeasy.net/2007-most-over-hyped-emerging-trend-in-online-marketing/2008-03-21/' rel='bookmark' title='2007 Most Over-Hyped Emerging Trend in Online Marketing'>2007 Most Over-Hyped Emerging Trend in Online Marketing</a></li>
<li><a href='http://marketingeasy.net/2007-top-services/2007-01-03/' rel='bookmark' title='2007 &#8211; Top Online Websites'>2007 &#8211; Top Online Websites</a></li>
<li><a href='http://marketingeasy.net/gm-dropping-half-of-their-3-bil-on-online-marketing/2008-03-15/' rel='bookmark' title='GM Dropping half of Their $3 bil on Online Marketing'>GM Dropping half of Their $3 bil on Online Marketing</a></li>
</ol></p>]]></content:encoded>
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